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With the largest number of World Cup participants in the tournament's history, 32 of the 48 teams will fight for a place in the knockout phase.
66.6% of nations will advance out of the group stage this summer, which is a huge improvement on the 50% in past World Cups. Because of this, bookmakers have adjusted with less favorable odds.
Before the start of the tournament, Spain, Argentina, Brazil, England and Germany had the best odds of advancing from the group stage, backed by recent successes in major tournaments and talent-rich squads.
The five nations are -10000 favorites to advance to the knockout round.
The Spanish are the defending European champions, while the Argentines are looking to win back-to-back titles. Germany has failed to get out of the group stage in the last two World Cups, but has always been a perennial contender: it has won four titles in its history. And then, of course, there is Brazil, which has more titles than any country with five.
Now, after the conclusion of the first day of the World Cup, Mexico has joined the group at the top. El Tri has risen to -10000 to advance to the knockout stage after initially being at just -1400. Mexico's big jump up the odds charts is a direct result of its dominant 2-0 win over South Africa.
With that in mind, let's look at the odds of each team advancing to the 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout stage starting June 12.
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Odds of advancing to the knockout phase
Spain: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 in total)
Argentina: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 in total)
Brazil: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
England: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Mexico: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 in total)
Germany: -10000 (bet $10 to win $10.10 total)
Portugal: -5000 (bet $10 to win $10.20 total)
France: -5000 (bet $10 to win $10.20 total)
Belgium: -3500 (bet $10 to win $10.29 total)
South Korea: -2500 (bet $10 to win $10.40 total)
Switzerland: -1800 (bet $10 to win $10.56 total)
Netherlands: -1400 (bet $10 to win $10.71 total)
Morocco: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Colombia: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Uruguay: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 in total)
Canada: -1000 (bet $10 to win $11 total)
Ecuador: -900 (bet $10 to win $11.11 in total)
Norway: -900 (bet $10 to win $11.11 total)
United States: -750 (bet $10 to win $11.33 total)
The US Men's National Team is currently -750 to advance from Group D (Photo by Omar Vega/USSF/Getty Images).
Croatia: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Austria: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Türkiye: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Ivory Coast: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Japan: -500 (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Egypt: -340 (bet $10 to win $12.94 total)
Algeria: -310 (bet $10 to win $13.23 total)
Scotland: -310 (bet $10 to win $13.23 total)
Senegal: -230 (bet $10 to win $14.35 total)
Sweden: -230 (bet $10 to win $1,435 total)
Bosnia and Herzegovina: -220 (bet $10 to win $14.55 total)
Paraguay: -205 (bet $10 to win $14.88 total)
Iran: -200 (bet $10 to win $15 total)
Czechia: -165 (bet $10 to win $16.06 total)
Ghana: -140 (bet $10 to win $17.14 total)
Australia: -110 (bet $10 to win $19.09 total)
DR Congo: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
Raúl Jiménez helped propel Mexico to a 2-0 victory over South Africa in the opening match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (Photo by Yair González/Jam Media/Getty Images).
Saudi Arabia: +105 (bet $10 to win $20.50 total)
Tunisia: +140 (bet $10 to win $24 total)
New Zealand: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)
Uzbekistan: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
Cape Verde: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Panama: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Qatar: +275 (bet $10 to win $37.50 total)
South Africa: +320 (bet $10 to win $42 total)
Jordan +350 (bet $10 to win $45 total)
Iraq: +450 (bet $10 to win $55 total)
Haiti: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 total)
Curacao: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
