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With 48 teams competing and a grueling road to the knockout stage, reaching the semi-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup will be an achievement in itself.
Only four nations will survive the first 100 matches of the tournament and earn a place in the final four, putting them two wins away from lifting the sport's most coveted trophy.
So after the first 13 days of the tournament, which countries are the favorites to go far this summer?
Let's take a look at the latest odds to reach the semifinals at FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 23.
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To reach the semi-finals
Argentina: +110 (bet $10 to win $21 total)
Spain: +110 (bet $10 to win $21 total)
France: +120 (bet $10 to win $22 total)
England: +155 (bet $10 to win $25.50 total)
Portugal: +195 (bet $10 to win $29.50 total)
Germany: +310 (bet $10 to win $41 total)
Brazil: +310 (bet $10 to win $41 total)
Netherlands: +390 (bet $10 to win $49 total)
USA: +460 (bet $10 to win $56 total)
Norway: +550 (bet $10 to win $65 total)
Colombia: +650 (bet $10 to win $75 total)
Belgium: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Morocco: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Mexico: +850 (bet $10 to win $95 total)
Japan: +850 (bet $10 to win $95 total)
Switzerland: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Croatia: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)
Austria: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)
Senegal: +1700 (bet $10 to win $180 total)
Canada: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)
Here's what you should know about this odds board:
The 7 best: Spain, France, Portugal, England, Argentina, Brazil and Germany top the rankings, with each nation listed at +310 or higher to reach the semifinals. Collectively, the group has 39 World Cup semi-final appearances and includes six former champions, highlighting why punters see them as the clear favorites to reach the final four in 2026. While France were the favorites in this market for much of the tournament, Argentina have just overtaken Les Bleus after clinching Group J.
At the 2022 World Cup, Morocco became the first African nation to reach the semifinals (Getty Images).
Recent history: Morocco authored one of the most notable losing streaks in World Cup history in 2022. Entering the tournament with 200-1 odds to win the title, Morocco became the first African nation to reach the semifinals before ultimately falling to France. Coming into the tournament, the Atlas Lions had a 50-1 record to reach the semifinals, rewarding bettors with a huge payout in this market. Can Morocco find gold again this summer? Their odds have increased from +1000 to +700 to reach the semi-finals again after their competitive opening draw against Brazil and a win over Scotland.
