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Two things have certainly been true this summer: the superstars are shining and the Golden Boot odds seem to change by the minute.
Just as they did on matchday one, Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland once again stole the show on Monday, combining for six more goals.
Messi scored first, setting the all-time World Cup goals record in the first half of Argentina's match against Austria. He then added another goal in extra time late in the match, giving him 18 World Cup goals all-time and five in two matches at the 2026 World Cup.
That performance briefly made Messi the Golden Boot favorite at +150.
But the advantage did not last long.
A few hours later, Mbappé responded with two goals, jumping from +350 to +155 to regain the favorite spot on the board. The French superstar now has 16 career World Cup goals, tying Miroslav Klose for the second-most in men's World Cup history.
The back-and-forth between two of the greatest players in the history of the sport is shaping up to make this a historic summer, with records likely to be broken and exchanged every time these two superstars take the field.
If that wasn't enough, Haaland added two more goals in Norway's 3-2 win over Senegal to tighten the race even further.
Messi now has the most goals in this tournament with five, Mbappé and Haaland are tied for second with four, Canada's Jonathan David and Germany's Deniz Undav have three, and many other stars (Harry Kane, Vinícius Jr., Mikel Oyarzabal and Kai Havertz) have two.
The race for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot is already shaping up to be historic. Let's dive into the updated odds on FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 22.
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Golden Boot Winner 2026
Kylian Mbappé: +155 (bet $10 to win $25.50 total)
Lionel Messi: +165 (bet $10 to win $26.50 total)
Erling Haaland: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
Harry Kane: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Mikel Oyarzabal: +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)
Deniz Undav: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Lamine Yamal: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total)
Vinícius Júnior: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 in total)
Johan Manzambi: +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total)
Jonathan David: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Folarin Balogun: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Cody Gakpo: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Kai Havertz: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Matheus Cunha: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Ayase Ueda +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Here's what you should know about this odds board:
The favorites: Do you recognize those two names on the board? In Argentina's first match against Algeria, with the first World Cup hat trick of his career, Messi tied Miroslav Klose for the most goals in men's World Cup history with 16, while also setting the record as the oldest player (38) to record a hat trick, surpassing Cristiano Ronaldo. Then, in Argentina's second match against Austria, Messi scored late in the first half to surpass Klose and break the record, and scored once again late in the match to put some space between him and Klose.
Mbappé came into the tournament as the favorite for the Golden Boot. The French superstar scored twice in his first World Cup match, becoming France's new all-time leader in goals with 58. Then, in his second World Cup match just hours after Messi pulled away, Mbappé added two more goals to regain favoritism. He won the Golden Boot at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar and seeks to become the first player in history to win two World Cup Golden Boot awards.
