CNN data reporter Harry Enten said former President Trump's gains among Black voters represent a “huge alarm” for President Biden's re-election campaign.
Enten appeared on “CNN News Central” on Wednesday to discuss how the fact that Trump currently has twice the black vote as he did in 2020 is a bad omen for the Democratic Party and enough of a change to give Trump victory in the next election. presidential.
“It's a huge alarm. It's spiraling, it's ambulance sirens, police sirens, any alarm you can imagine. That should be what's going off on the Democratic side,” Enten said.
The journalist analyzed polling averages among black voters in the previous presidential elections compared to the current ones, which showed Trump improving from 10% to 21% of the black vote.
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CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten explains how Trump's gains among black voters could be “deadly” to Biden's re-election prospects.
Enten described it as a “clear decline” for the Biden campaign, noting that Biden had consistently lost 11 points, from 81% to 70% support.
“If that continues during the elections, [it] “It would be the best performance by a Republican presidential candidate among black voters in 64 years, since Richard Nixon in 1960,” he said.
The data guru noted that most of these Trump gains come from black voters under 49 years old. The chart, which shows rates averaged from polls by CNN, NBC News, ABC News and Pew Research, shows Trump at 27%. of his support while Biden has 64%.
As for black voters over 50, Biden has 85% of them, while Trump only has 8%.
“You can't treat black voters as a monolith. This age breakdown shows that. It shows that younger black voters are much less supportive of the president than older black voters,” Enten added.
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Earlier this month, CNN data reporter Harry Enten warned that Biden's campaign was in trouble due to declining support from Black voters. (CNN/screenshot)
Enten said that, without taking into account other voting changes from 2020, that increase in Black support would put Trump over the top in 2024 with 291 Electoral College votes.
“Take a look at the swing states. You'll see the swing states are Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania…and Wisconsin,” Enten said.
Host Boris Sánchez commented that the figures represent a “great opening for Republicans,” adding: “That's an alarm.”
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“To be honest, these numbers could be deadly for Joe Biden's campaign,” Enten said.
